Research: How We Think—and Decide—in a Complex World

In my research, I study how people intuitively make decisions in complex environments, why that thinking often falls short, and how we can build the capacity to do better.
My research—rooted in work at Harvard and MIT Sloan—focuses on two intersecting questions:
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How do children and adults develop the ability to think in systems?
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What gets in the way—cognitively, structurally, and culturally?
I explore how visual metaphors (like the Carbon Bathtub), language, and developmental strategies can build systems literacy across the lifespan. I also study how habits of thought can shift to better navigate systemic challenges—whether tackling climate change, improving health outcomes, or building a culture of safety in large organizations.
Areas of Focus

Cognitive Development
How systems thinking develops from childhood through adult.

Systems + Decision Making
How people make decisions in dynamic, feedback-rich environments.

Barriers to Systems Thinking
The causes and consequences of asystemic thinking- mental models, silos, incentive misalignment, etc.
Selected Publications
Click to Explore:
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Managing Complex Dynamic Systems: Challenge and Opportunity for Naturalistic Decision-Making Theory (Sterman & Booth Sweeney, 2007) – In How Professionals Make Decisions, Montgomery, Lipshitz & Brehmer (Eds.), Lawrence Erlbaum Associates
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Patterns of Polycrisis: Applying System Archetypes to Crisis Interactions (Booth Sweeney, 2025) – Global Sustainability, Cambridge University Press
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Integrating Complex Systems Methods to Advance Obesity Prevention (2020) – Health Education & Behavior
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All Systems Go! Education for the Anthropocene (2017) – Worldwatch Institute
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Learning to Connect the Dots: Children’s Systems Literacy (2012) – The Solutions Journal
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“Carbon Bathtub” featured as National Geographic Big Idea (2009) – Co-developed with John Sterman, MIT
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Thinking About Systems: Student and Teacher Conceptions (2007) – System Dynamics Review
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Understanding Public Complacency About Climate Change (2006) – Climatic Change
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Bathtub Dynamics: Initial Results of a Systems Thinking Inventory (2001) – System Dynamics Review
Additional peer-reviewed publications and articles available upon request.
